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Bayern München vs RB Leipzig — Tips & Analysis

Club Friendlies
Bayern München
Bayern München
WWWLW
3-1
Sat 15 Aug, 20:30 ICT
RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig
LLWWW
📍 Allianz Arena
⭐ Our Pick
Over/Under🟢 ½ Won
Over 3.75@1.88
Confidence52%
18+ · T&Cs apply
Why we like this pick
Over 3.75: Goals follow these two around, and that is the case for backing plenty of them again. Bayern's games have almost 5 goals in them on average, and 13 of their last 17 had 3 or more. They score just over 3 goals a game, and they still let in more than a goal a game. Leipzig tell the same story from the other side. They score almost 2 goals a game, they let in more than one, and 12 of their last 15 games had 3 or more goals. They carry a real threat on the break. The history backs it up. The last 20 meetings averaged almost 4 goals, and Bayern won the three most recent ones 2-0, 5-1 and 6-0. This is the Telekom Cup showpiece in front of a full Allianz Arena. Both squads are close to full strength, so this is a serious game and not a lazy run out. A 3-1 to Bayern is the likely finish, and that is the open, end to end game we want. The catch is that it is still a friendly. Both managers can empty the bench at half time and the game can slow right down. Bayern have also gone 84 days without a game, so the first half hour may be scrappy. We still expect a busy night with goals at both ends.
Recent Form
Bayern München6W 1D 1L
W3-1vs RB Leipzig (H)15 Aug 26Friendlies Clubs
W2-1vs Aston Villa (H)7 Aug 26Friendlies Clubs
W2-1vs Jeju United FC (A)4 Aug 26Friendlies Clubs
L1-2vs SV Wehen (A)25 Jul 26Friendlies Clubs
W3-0vs VfB Stuttgart (H)23 May 26DFB Pokal
W5-1vs 1. FC Köln (H)16 May 26Bundesliga
W1-0vs VfL Wolfsburg (A)9 May 26Bundesliga
D1-1vs Paris Saint Germain (H)6 May 26UEFA Champions League
RB Leipzig4W 0D 4L
L1-3vs Bayern München (A)15 Aug 26Friendlies Clubs
L0-2vs Leeds (A)8 Aug 26Friendlies Clubs
W4-0vs Verl (H)1 Aug 26Friendlies Clubs
W1-0vs FC Ingolstadt 04 (H)25 Jul 26Friendlies Clubs
W2-1vs Altglienicke (A)18 Jul 26Friendlies Clubs
L1-3vs Mamelodi Sundowns (A)29 May 26Friendlies Clubs
L1-4vs SC Freiburg (A)16 May 26Bundesliga
W2-1vs FC St. Pauli (H)9 May 26Bundesliga
Form Stats
Bayern MünchenBayern München
RB LeipzigRB Leipzig
2.25
Avg scored
1.50
0.88
Avg conceded
1.75
75%
Over 2.5
75%
75%
Both score
63%
25%
Clean sheet
25%
0%
Failed to score
13%
Head-to-Head
Bayern München
3 - 1
RB Leipzig
15 Aug 2026 · Friendlies Clubs
Bayern München
2 - 0
RB Leipzig
11 Feb 2026 · DFB Pokal
RB Leipzig
1 - 5
Bayern München
17 Jan 2026 · Bundesliga
Bayern München
6 - 0
RB Leipzig
22 Aug 2025 · Bundesliga
RB Leipzig
3 - 3
Bayern München
3 May 2025 · Bundesliga
Goal Timing — When Goals Happen
Bayern München — scores
15%0-15'
0%16-30'
23%31-45'
15%46-60'
23%61-75'
23%76-90'
Bayern München — concedes
40%0-15'
0%16-30'
0%31-45'
20%46-60'
0%61-75'
40%76-90'
RB Leipzig — scores
13%0-15'
13%16-30'
0%31-45'
38%46-60'
25%61-75'
0%76-90'
RB Leipzig — concedes
33%0-15'
11%16-30'
0%31-45'
11%46-60'
0%61-75'
44%76-90'
Match Events
L. Diaz
13'
B. Grudaassist M. Finkgrafe
52'
N. Brownassist A. Pavlovic
57'
J. Musialaassist I. Saibari
81'