Avispa Fukuoka vs Cerezo Osaka — Tips & Analysis

Under 2.5: These two do not give each other much room. The last 15 meetings averaged just over 2 goals, and three or more goals landed only a third of the time. They tied 1-1 in Osaka in May. Avispa tie more games than almost anyone. They have tied 8 of their last 18 games and 5 of their 9 at home. They score just over a goal a game and have not won by 2 or more goals in any of their last 18. They have won just one of their nine home games. Cerezo are the better team and arrive unbeaten in five, with four wins and a tie. They are far more modest on their travels. Away from home they score just over a goal a game and let in just over a goal a game. Their road record is 4 wins, 2 ties and 3 losses. Both sides have had a full week to prepare, so expect a controlled game rather than a loose one. Avispa also lost 0-1 at home to Vissel Kobe last week, which is the low-scoring pattern this run keeps producing. A 1-1 is the likeliest finish, and that keeps the night on the quiet side. The clear danger is Cerezo's scoring. They have scored 3 or more in four of their last six, including 6-1 against Nagoya and 3-2 at Fagiano. One early goal and this can open up quickly. We still expect a tight, low-scoring game.