Alaves vs Getafe — Tips & Analysis

Getafe +0.25: Alaves have beaten Getafe just twice in the last 16 meetings. Eight of those games ended tied, so this is a matchup Alaves have never solved. Alaves have won 4, tied 6 and lost 6 of their last 16 games. They score more than a goal a game, and they let in almost 2. They also start the season without two defenders, with Garces suspended and Mendes injured. Getafe have won 7, tied 1 and lost 6 of their last 14 games. They are horrible to play against. On the road last season they scored under a goal a game, and they let in under a goal a game too. Only 2 of Getafe's last 14 games had 3 or more goals, and the 16 meetings with Alaves have averaged almost 2 goals. Alaves have managed just two goals in total across the last five against them. Everything points to a slow, tight game decided by one moment, and a 1-0 win for Getafe is the most likely score. That lands this pick. There is real doubt here though. This is the first game of the season after 84 days off. Getafe brought in nine new players and lost eight, so their shape may take time to come. Alaves at home can nick a tight one. We are still with Getafe.