Plymouth vs Exeter City — Tips & Analysis

Over 3: Both of these teams play in open games. Plymouth have had 3 or more goals in 11 of their last 14. Exeter have had 3 or more in 9 of their last 16. Games involving either club average just over 3 goals in total, counting both sides. Plymouth begin the season with promotion in mind. They score almost 2 goals a game and have won 8 of their last 14. They went through six warm up games unbeaten, winning 5 and tying 1. Exeter are the weak point. They won 1 of their 16 games last season and let in almost 2 goals a game, rising to 2 a game in their seven away games. They are a division below now, and they warmed up by losing to Truro City and Torquay United. Both clubs have had 100 days since their last game. First nights back tend to be loose, with rusty defending and new signings still learning each other. Our read is a controlled 2-0 Plymouth win, so we need this to open up more than that. It is not a stretch when the away defense is this leaky and the home side keep pushing forward. The risk is a flat cup tie. Plymouth reached 4 goals or more in only 5 of their last 14 games, and only once got to five. Exeter tied 7 of 16 last season, so they know how to keep a game dull. Even so, two rusty defenses still point our way.