Fakel vs Akhmat — Tips & Analysis

Under 2.25: Neither of these teams scores much, and that is the whole case. Fakel score just over a goal a game and let in just over a goal. Their games have just over 2 goals in them, counting both sides. Akhmat are the same story, with only 4 of their last 14 games reaching 3 goals or more. Fakel are quieter still in Voronezh. Across nine home games they score less than a goal a game and let in less than a goal. They sit bottom of the league on 0 points and have lost both of their top flight games, so they will play it safe. Akhmat do not chase games either. They have tied 8 of their last 14, and six of their eight away games finished level. They score just over a goal a game and travel without the suspended Cacintura. Fakel are without Magkeev. The last six meetings averaged more than 2 goals, and the most recent one finished 0-0. Two struggling teams, five days after their last game, both with far more to lose than to gain. That points to a 1-1, and two goals keeps us on the right side. The warning is that quiet games flip on one mistake. Fakel have had 3 or more goals in 7 of their last 16, so this is not bulletproof. An early goal would force somebody to come out and chase, and then it opens up. We still expect a slow game.