Tips — Thursday, 30 July 2026

💬 Augsburg let in 1.7 goals a game and look shaky at the back. 12 of their last 19 games had 3 or more goals. Bournemouth score 1.5 goals a game and should find chances too. This friendly runs in four 30 minute quarters with both squads rotating, and a 1-2 looks likely.

💬 Parma play two divisions above Arezzo and should be the better side. Arezzo's recent games all came in Serie C against much weaker sides. They also come in tired at the end of a two week training camp. Parma only score 0.8 goals a game, but a 2-0 win still looks likely.

💬 Marseille play four divisions above Nimes, so they should win this comfortably. Nimes have won 11 of their last 18 games, but they play in the fifth tier. Marseille are missing Greenwood, Aubameyang and Traore, and this is only their second friendly. A 2-0 win looks the most likely score, so this needs a third goal.

💬 Beşiktaş won the first game 1-0 and they are hard to score against. They let in under a goal a game and rarely lose by more than one. Midtjylland have not won by 2 or more in their last 15 games. A tight 1-1 looks most likely, which keeps Beşiktaş on the right side here.

💬 Hradec are on a good run and have won 6 of their last 8 home games. They let in less than a goal a game at home and won the first game 1-0. Tromso are a different side on the road and score just over a goal a game there. We read this as a tight 1-0 Hradec win, so they should not lose here.

💬 PAOK won the first game 3-2, so Dynamo must attack here. That first game alone produced five goals. Dynamo Kyiv's games average 3.3 goals in total and PAOK's average 2.8. We read this as an open 2-1 PAOK win, so goals should come.

💬 Anderlecht let in 2.2 goals a game and are missing four defenders. Their games average 3.7 goals, and Hammarby's average 3.2. The tie is level at 1-1 after the first game, so neither side can play it safe. We read this as an open 2-2 with goals at both ends.

💬 Benfica lost the first game 2-1, so they need two goals here. 14 of Benfica's last 17 games had 3 or more goals. St. Gallen score plenty on the road but are missing two centre backs. We see a 3-1 Benfica win, with goals at both ends.

💬 These two produce very few goals, and the last three meetings finished 1-0, 2-0 and 1-0. Corinthians let in just 0.44 goals a game at home. Atletico Paranaense score under a goal a game on the road. Both attacks are short of players, so a tight 1-0 looks right.

💬 Coritiba have tied 7 of their last 20 games, so close finishes are normal for them. Cruzeiro have not lost in their last eight away games. They have still won by 2 or more goals in only 2 of their last 18 games. Cruzeiro also miss goalkeeper Cassio and Gabriel Pec, and a 1-1 tie looks the likely result.